Tuesday, February 9, 2010

2010 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, Odds and Expert Picks

Bing Crosby's ghost will be out this week for the 72 hole Pro-Am known as "The Clambake". B list stars and Hollywood Hackers will vie on three Monterrey Peninsula courses, MPCC Shore Course (replacing Poppy Hills), Spyglass Hill, and the namesake, Pebble Beach Golf Links. Pebble will host the 2010 US Open later this summer. I don't know how much of a tune-up this will provide for the Open. Expect a firmer, drier course in the summer with slicker greens and much longer rough.
As is our tradition here at Average Golfer, Ladbrokes supplies the odds, we supply the expert commentary. Without further ado, let's handicap some golfers....

Phil Mickelson, 8:1 - Not the way he's played lately. Phil pops out after tough stretches in the beginning of the year though. Should win.

Retief Goosen, 14:1 - Indicative of the weak field. 2nd in odds. I never get a handle on this guy. Perhaps an android. Could win.

Jim Furyk, 20:1 - Hasn't won in a while. Slipping in rankings. Won't win.

Dustin Johnson, 20:1 - Defends here. Slick game for a basher. Could win.

Sean O'Hair, 25:1 - Still appears a little tight. Very deliberate. Could win.

Luke Donald, 25:1 - Good result last week at Riviera. Seems soft to me, lacking killer instinct. Happy with Top 10s. Won't win.

Matt Kuchar, 25:1 - Strong since last year. like him here a lot. Potential winner.

Padraig Harrington, 25:1 - Other than last year's PGA, really hasn't played all that well. Still, 3rd World Ranked player here. Could win.

Tim Clark, 25:1 - Perennial overacheiving bridesmaid. Would find a way to lose when ahead. Won't win.

Sergio Garcia, 25:1 - I've quit on Garcia. Needs head transplant. Could win, won't.

Mike Weir, 25:1 - If the putter gets hot.......

Nick Watney, 40:1 - Like him better than 40:1. Good all around game. Possible winner.

DL III, 40:1 - Nostalgia pick. Putter hasn't been sharp at all. Still strikes it as well as anyone. Won't win.

Hunter Mahan, 40:1 - Should have more wins at this point. may be addicted to his mirror. Probably won't win.

Vijay, 40:1 - Past winner. Rounding into form after injury. Not there yet. Won't win.

Brandt Snedeker, 40:1 - May be the nicest guy on Tour. Nice guys finish...

JB Holmes, 40:1 - Makes molasses seem fast. 6 hour pro-am rounds should suit him. Could win.

Celebs slated to play include NFLers Tom Brady and Tony Romo. The ubiquitous Kenny G and Michael Bolton. Of course Bill Murray, whose golf act has run a little thin for my tastes. The rest of the stars on the roster make The Who at the Superbowl halftime show seem fresh.

Average Golfer Picks

1. Kuchar
2. Pat Perez
3. Mickelson

Sleeper Pick.......Brian Gay

There you have 'em. Bet early and often!

Til' next, 


  1. Excellent post, my friend. You don't barf all over yourself like most who predict the outcomes of sporting events. Kuchar's a ballsy pick as is mine, the guy I thought would break out in '09, Nick Watney. Maybe in '10 for Watney?

  2. Barfing on myself is doubly bad when the picks turn out wrong.

    Thanks for the look.

  3. Haha, good stuff. But id say Kuchar is the sleeper in that 4some.

    P.S. love the Watney pick Frankie!

  4. Nice information, thanks for sharing.